JEE Challenger
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Probability That Die Tossed Until Six Requires At Least Three Tosses

Comprehension Passage

A fair die is tossed repeatedly until a six is obtained. Let XX denote the number of tosses required.

The probability that X≥3X \geq 3 equals

Options

A

125216\frac{125}{216}

B

2536\frac{25}{36}

Correct
C

536\frac{5}{36}

D

25216\frac{25}{216}

Step-by-Step Solution

To find the probability that X≥3X \geq 3, we analyze the random variable XX, which denotes the number of tosses required until a six is obtained.

For a fair six-sided die:

  • The probability of rolling a six on any given toss is p=16p = \frac{1}{6}.
  • The probability of not rolling a six on any given toss is q=1−p=56q = 1 - p = \frac{5}{6}.

Since the tosses are independent, the random variable XX follows a geometric distribution with parameter p=16p = \frac{1}{6}, where:
P(X=k)=qk−1pfor k=1,2,3,…P(X = k) = q^{k-1}p \quad \text{for } k = 1, 2, 3, \dots

The event X≥3X \geq 3 means that the first six does not appear on the first or second toss. In other words, the first two tosses must both be failures (not a six):
P(X≥3)=P(no six on the 1st toss and no six on the 2nd toss)P(X \geq 3) = P(\text{no six on the 1st toss and no six on the 2nd toss})

Using the complementary probability:
P(X≥3)=1−P(X<3)=1−[P(X=1)+P(X=2)]P(X \geq 3) = 1 - P(X < 3) = 1 - [P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)]

Substituting the probabilities:
P(X=1)=p=16P(X = 1) = p = \frac{1}{6}
P(X=2)=q⋅p=(56)(16)=536P(X = 2) = q \cdot p = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) = \frac{5}{36}

Thus:
P(X≥3)=1−(16+536)=1−1136=2536P(X \geq 3) = 1 - \left(\frac{1}{6} + \frac{5}{36}\right) = 1 - \frac{11}{36} = \frac{25}{36}

Equivalently, this is simply the probability that the first two tosses are not six:
P(X≥3)=q2=(56)2=2536P(X \geq 3) = q^2 = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2 = \frac{25}{36}

Therefore, the correct option is B.