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Probability of Student Solving Problem Given Independent Conditionals

Three students S1,S2S_1, S_2, and S3S_3 are given a problem to solve. Consider the following events:

UU: At least one of S1,S2S_1, S_2, and S3S_3 can solve the problem,
VV: S1S_1 can solve the problem, given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem,
WW: S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem,
TT: S3S_3 can solve the problem.

For any event EE, let P(E)P(E) denote the probability of EE. If

P(U)=12,P(V)=110,andP(W)=112,P(U) = \frac{1}{2}, \quad P(V) = \frac{1}{10}, \quad \text{and} \quad P(W) = \frac{1}{12},

then P(T)P(T) is equal to

Options

A

1336\frac{13}{36}

Correct
B

13\frac{1}{3}

C

1960\frac{19}{60}

D

14\frac{1}{4}

Step-by-Step Solution

To find P(T)P(T), let E1,E2,E_1, E_2, and E3E_3 denote the events that students S1,S2,S_1, S_2, and S3S_3 solve the problem, respectively. The events E1,E2,E_1, E_2, and E3E_3 are mutually independent.

Let: P(E1)=p1,P(E2)=p2,andP(E3)=p3=P(T)P(E_1) = p_1, \quad P(E_2) = p_2, \quad \text{and} \quad P(E_3) = p_3 = P(T)

From the given information:

  1. Event UU: At least one of S1,S2,S_1, S_2, and S3S_3 can solve the problem. P(U)=1P(E1cE2cE3c)=1(1p1)(1p2)(1p3)P(U) = 1 - P(E_1^c \cap E_2^c \cap E_3^c) = 1 - (1 - p_1)(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3) Given that P(U)=12P(U) = \frac{1}{2}, we have: (1p1)(1p2)(1p3)=112=12— (1)(1 - p_1)(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} \quad \text{--- (1)}

  2. Event VV: S1S_1 can solve the problem given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem. P(V)=P(E1E2cE3c)=P(E1E2cE3c)P(E2cE3c)=p1(1p2)(1p3)(1p2)(1p3)=p1P(V) = P(E_1 \mid E_2^c \cap E_3^c) = \frac{P(E_1 \cap E_2^c \cap E_3^c)}{P(E_2^c \cap E_3^c)} = \frac{p_1(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3)}{(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3)} = p_1 Given that P(V)=110P(V) = \frac{1}{10}, we find: p1=110    1p1=910p_1 = \frac{1}{10} \implies 1 - p_1 = \frac{9}{10}

  3. Event WW: S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem. P(W)=P(E2E3c)=p2(1p3)P(W) = P(E_2 \cap E_3^c) = p_2(1 - p_3) Given that P(W)=112P(W) = \frac{1}{12}, we have: p2(1p3)=112— (2)p_2(1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{12} \quad \text{--- (2)}

Now, substitute 1p1=9101 - p_1 = \frac{9}{10} into equation (1): 910(1p2)(1p3)=12\frac{9}{10}(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{2} (1p2)(1p3)=12×109=59(1 - p_2)(1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{10}{9} = \frac{5}{9}

Expanding the left side: (1p3)p2(1p3)=59(1 - p_3) - p_2(1 - p_3) = \frac{5}{9}

Using equation (2), substitute p2(1p3)=112p_2(1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{12}: (1p3)112=59(1 - p_3) - \frac{1}{12} = \frac{5}{9} 1p3=59+112=20+336=23361 - p_3 = \frac{5}{9} + \frac{1}{12} = \frac{20 + 3}{36} = \frac{23}{36}

Thus, P(T)=p3=12336=1336P(T) = p_3 = 1 - \frac{23}{36} = \frac{13}{36}

Hence, the correct option is (A).

Probability of Student Solving Problem Given Independent Conditionals | Mathematics PYQ Solution - JEE Challenger