JEE Challenger
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Probability of Independent and Conditional Events in Two Boxes

Suppose that Box I contains 6 red balls and 9 green balls, and Box II contains 8 red balls and 12 green balls. All the balls of Box I and Box II are mixed together and a ball is chosen at random from them. Let E1E_1 be the event that the ball chosen belonged to Box I and let E2E_2 be the event that the ball chosen belonged to Box II. Let F1F_1 be the event that the ball chosen is red and let F2F_2 be the event that the ball chosen is green.

Then which of the following statements is (are) TRUE ?

Options

A

The events E1E_1 and F1F_1 are independent

Correct
B

The events E2E_2 and F2F_2 are dependent

C

The conditional probability P(F1E1)P(F_1 \mid E_1) is equal to the conditional probability P(F1E2)P(F_1 \mid E_2)

Correct
D

The conditional probability P(F1E1)P(F_1 \mid E_1) is greater than the conditional probability P(F2E2)P(F_2 \mid E_2)

Step-by-Step Solution

To determine the correct options, we analyze the total composition of the boxes and calculate the probabilities of the given events.

1. Composition of the Boxes:

  • Box I: Contains 66 red balls and 99 green balls.
    • Total number of balls in Box I = 6+9=156 + 9 = 15.
  • Box II: Contains 88 red balls and 1212 green balls.
    • Total number of balls in Box II = 8+12=208 + 12 = 20.

When all the balls from Box I and Box II are mixed together, the combined total number of balls is: Total balls=15+20=35\text{Total balls} = 15 + 20 = 35

The total number of red balls and green balls in the combined mix are: Total Red balls=6+8=14\text{Total Red balls} = 6 + 8 = 14 Total Green balls=9+12=21\text{Total Green balls} = 9 + 12 = 21


2. Probabilities of Individual Events:

A ball is chosen at random from the total 3535 mixed balls.

  • Event E1E_1 (Ball belongs to Box I): P(E1)=1535=37P(E_1) = \frac{15}{35} = \frac{3}{7}

  • Event E2E_2 (Ball belongs to Box II): P(E2)=2035=47P(E_2) = \frac{20}{35} = \frac{4}{7}

  • Event F1F_1 (Ball is red): P(F1)=1435=25P(F_1) = \frac{14}{35} = \frac{2}{5}

  • Event F2F_2 (Ball is green): P(F2)=2135=35P(F_2) = \frac{21}{35} = \frac{3}{5}


3. Verification of Options:

Option A:

  • Probability that the ball is chosen from Box I and is red: P(E1F1)=Red balls in Box ITotal combined balls=635P(E_1 \cap F_1) = \frac{\text{Red balls in Box I}}{\text{Total combined balls}} = \frac{6}{35}
  • Product of individual probabilities: P(E1)P(F1)=37×25=635P(E_1) \cdot P(F_1) = \frac{3}{7} \times \frac{2}{5} = \frac{6}{35}

Since P(E1F1)=P(E1)P(F1)P(E_1 \cap F_1) = P(E_1) \cdot P(F_1), the events E1E_1 and F1F_1 are independent.
Thus, Option A is TRUE.


Option B:

  • Probability that the ball is chosen from Box II and is green: P(E2F2)=Green balls in Box IITotal combined balls=1235P(E_2 \cap F_2) = \frac{\text{Green balls in Box II}}{\text{Total combined balls}} = \frac{12}{35}
  • Product of individual probabilities: P(E2)P(F2)=47×35=1235P(E_2) \cdot P(F_2) = \frac{4}{7} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{12}{35}

Since P(E2F2)=P(E2)P(F2)P(E_2 \cap F_2) = P(E_2) \cdot P(F_2), the events E2E_2 and F2F_2 are independent (not dependent).
Thus, Option B is FALSE.


Option C:

  • Conditional probability P(F1E1)P(F_1 \mid E_1): P(F1E1)=Red balls in Box ITotal balls in Box I=615=25P(F_1 \mid E_1) = \frac{\text{Red balls in Box I}}{\text{Total balls in Box I}} = \frac{6}{15} = \frac{2}{5}
  • Conditional probability P(F1E2)P(F_1 \mid E_2): P(F1E2)=Red balls in Box IITotal balls in Box II=820=25P(F_1 \mid E_2) = \frac{\text{Red balls in Box II}}{\text{Total balls in Box II}} = \frac{8}{20} = \frac{2}{5}

Since P(F1E1)=P(F1E2)=25P(F_1 \mid E_1) = P(F_1 \mid E_2) = \frac{2}{5}, the two conditional probabilities are equal.
Thus, Option C is TRUE.


Option D:

  • From above, P(F1E1)=25P(F_1 \mid E_1) = \frac{2}{5}.
  • Conditional probability P(F2E2)P(F_2 \mid E_2): P(F2E2)=Green balls in Box IITotal balls in Box II=1220=35P(F_2 \mid E_2) = \frac{\text{Green balls in Box II}}{\text{Total balls in Box II}} = \frac{12}{20} = \frac{3}{5}

Comparing the two: P(F1E1)=25<35=P(F2E2)P(F_1 \mid E_1) = \frac{2}{5} < \frac{3}{5} = P(F_2 \mid E_2)

Therefore, P(F1E1)P(F_1 \mid E_1) is less than P(F2E2)P(F_2 \mid E_2).
Thus, Option D is FALSE.


Conclusion:

The correct options are A and C.

Probability of Independent and Conditional Events in Two Boxes | Mathematics PYQ Solution - JEE Challenger